Sumit:
15.6% INLD ke vote the. 12% BJP ke.
If BJP was voted from the vote bank at some places, it was vice versa also at some other places.
Chalo kuch hat tak maan liya. Lets say BJP ke 12% mein se 5 ya 6% humm INLD ko add kar dete hain.
To make it even more Pro INLD assumption, we do not delete anything from INLD (which is not true as some BJP votes were also cross voted)
Anyways 15.6+6 = 21% vote.
Now consider the following factors:-
1) At some isolated places INLD might be very strong, yahaan par they might get 80% to even 90% of the vote. So a lot of that total 21% will be among these places also. But once you win a seat, you win a seat. whether you get 60% or 90% of vote, you only win 1 seat and not 1.5
2) When you say that INLD vote bank is very much fixed, the point 1 above is consolidated even more by that fact
3) After Lok sabha, the results would sway the borderline INLD voters to Congress
4) With sampat singh having left along with some other senior leaders, INLD has received a death blow. This is twice as hard, one loosing a solid vote bank of Sampat singh and 2- adding all that to Congress directly
5) With BJP also quitting INLD's side, more borderline voters will leave INLD as they dont want to be in a sinking ship.
6) INLD has done virtually nothing to improve on things leaders like Sampat singh mentioned. Hence their weakness from lok sabha elections not only stand, but have been intensified now and come to limelight with their refusal to take any remedial measures....this shows to public that they are not willing to change at any cost.
Prof sampat singh's departure was the final nail in the coffin of INLD. No person having spent all his life in INLD faithfully will leave it in the wee end of his career....it shows how shameless chautala and his sons are. They stop at nothing at all.
Ramesh
Malik ji 12 se jyada to aa hi jayegi majority aaye ya na ye.ab as u know about 50 seats mein multi corner hai.inld ka vote bank fixed hai.main yahan ye point clear kar deta hoon 16% vote bank to isliye tha because ye 5 seats par lade the.baki 5 par jab bjp wale lade the. jo bjp ko vote mila wo kafi extent tak inld ka tha.eg jin 7 seats par bjp ne dominate kiya tha wo almost rural site thi wahan inld ka vote bjp ko transfer hua.
Ab aapko kya lagta hai ispar please reply