Haryana Assembly Elections 09: Khabar, Zayza, Mahol, Halaat!!

[ashish1983]

Loharu : Here it was looking like would be seat for congress but now position is deteriorating for congress day by day.Here main attraction is Somvir, Dharampal, sandeep Piolat and the most important one is JP DALAL. Somvir is having better position but not secure one.

Badhra: Here Ranbir Singh Mahendra Going to loose for sure. People dont like his personality(reserved) and alienation. here fight is between INLD,HJC and BJP(Yes its BJP active here).Col. Raghubir Chillar(INLD) is here in better position here

Dadri: Narpendar and Satpal is in competition and Satpal is in better position. Most probabale seat for HJC.

Bhiwani : Vasudev sharma(INLD), Shiv Shankar Bhardwaj(Cong) and Ghanshayam Saraf(BJP) is in fight. Ghanshaym Saraf is in Better position as being runner up last time and brahmin Vote bank and Jat are split in INLD and Cong.

Tosham: Sure Kiran Chaudhary.

These are views till now. But situation would be more clear in a weak time.

Hi Devender,
I agree with your points but here is soem of my points that i got from some people that i talked too.
Badhra - Has Never voted for congress except for the last time that too because it was a big wave of congress last time... and that is the reason DHARAMBIR won from there. RANBIR SINGH in 2000 got 29.55% votes from INLD and next year he lost from the INLD ticket with 25.12% vote. so his vote bank is not more than 30%(i.e INLD vote bank). the competition here will be tough but if in coming weeks i assume i dont think it will be a same wave like the previous one for congress than the congress candidate might loose. Again just myview i may be wrong.
Loharu : Loharu was never voted for congress except for the last election because of the big wave and SOMVIR SINGH is a known candidate to local people who used to be a part of HVP. but later joined Congress. His vote base is not more than 40% when he lost in 2000 and last time when he won it was by 38.81 % votes and loosing candidate was BAHADUR SINGH(INLD) with 28.23 % votes. Bhadur Singh(INLD) Won the 2000 election with 46.60% votes. Assuming if it is 70% turnout than somvir is a winner. but again it is my guess...i may be wrong...
Dadri - Again Dadri is also the constituency which has not voted for congress from 1977 except in 2005 the voted for congress because of the big wave that congress was riding. and NIRPENDER(INC) won with 30.52% vote and the lossing candidate satpal(INDependent) lost by 29.17 % votes. My assumption congress had a big wave in 2005 and than the candidate won by just a small margin than this time i am assuming with not a big wave favoring congress satpal is a better candidate...
again just purely based on data and assumption.
Bhiwani : Bhiwani has voted 2 times for a congress candidate one in 1982 and the other in 2005 both time the candidate margin was more than 48 % votes. DR. SHIV SHANKER BHARDWAJ(INC) won by 52.99% votes. Iagree Jat are split between cong and INLD and last time GHANSHYAM DASS SARRAF(BJP) lost by 27.70% votes which is a big margin.I also think Shiv shanker won bcoz of the congress wave but there is also one point to keep in mind that this constituency has never voted for BJP candidate and they have voted for congress 2 times and HVP 3 times. So i think this can go in favor of congress way but still it is just a speculation. Need more inputs from people from this constituency...
Tosham - i think kiran will win sure shot bco this constituency have voted for bansi lal family only.

Others can comment on these inputs and can inform us mroe about there constituency and there behaving pattern.
i think the response people are giving when u talk to them is it is mix but congress can come in state but i dont think if they come then it will be a big majority as projected by CM bhupinder Hooda.
I also think with the way AP state have behaved it is quiet possible sonia gadnhi will make someone else the CM like she did with bhajan lal.
Again i think this quiet possible i may be wrong or i may be right bcoz if u look same thing happened in 2005 in haryana when bhajan lal distributed the tickets according to his wish...
So you never Know...

 

[ashish1983]

Narnaund: narnaud has never voted for congress not even in the last election. VIRENDER SINGH has won from here 4 times from 1977 -1996 but from different parties. As soon he got the ticket from congress he lost 2 times... congress total vote base here is not more than 28% and too when they have a stron candidate. Last time RAM KUMAR(BJP) won from here with 34.10% and SAROJ(INLD) lost the election with 32.57%. it was a tough compeition congress was not even in the picture.
This time also i really dont know who is going to win but i think it is not congress for sure. again pure guess.
Please put your inputs for this constituency also...

 

[ashish1983]

Nirpendra position is not looking good in Dadri. He is loosing ground day by day.
Imlota gaon mai Nirpendra ka mike khos liya logon ne,bole aaj tak to aya na ibb k karan aya hai....kiran ne thodi situation sambhalii fer...

Rumors are that Nirpendra is not even visiting without Kiran in many of the villeges.

Akshay i dont think NIRPENDER will win at all.
People Do not like him at all.
He never visited the villages. he won last time jsut bcoz of the congress wave..
but still you never know when things change in election...

 

[harish24]

Mahendra is leading in Badhara.

Mr. Ranbir singh Mahendra is ahead in Badhara and his victory is sure. DADRI- Satpal Sangwan is in the lead.Loharu- Sombir is in the lead.Sohana- Dharambir is fighting very hard between the Gujjars, only miracles can save him.Beri- Dr.Kadian is fighting hard. Nalwa- Sampat is getting hot.Tosham- sure for Kiran.Baki to time batayega, BJP will do better this time all over Haryana.Capt. Abhimanyu is in good fight in Narnaud.:boxing

 

[ashish1983]

Mr. Ranbir singh Mahendra is ahead in Badhara and his victory is sure. DADRI- Satpal Sangwan is in the lead.Loharu- Sombir is in the lead.Sohana- Dharambir is fighting very hard between the Gujjars, only miracles can save him.Beri- Dr.Kadian is fighting hard. Nalwa- Sampat is getting hot.Tosham- sure for Kiran.Baki to time batayega, BJP will do better this time all over Haryana.Capt. Abhimanyu is in good fight in Narnaud.:boxing

Sohna - Dharam Pal (INC) has a vote base of 36% in sohna. But sukhbir Singh is in a better position. I thought Dharam Pal was a gujjar himeself...
because it is a gujjar belt... I doubt Dharam pal Will win this time...
just the speculation...
Anyone from sohna palwal or gurgaon can give us a better idea...
but my assumption is total on data and votes given...
if the turnout is more than 70% which it will be than dharam pal is in danger...
BERI- i think DR. RAGHUVIR SINGH has a strong base there and a big vote bank favoring him, but this is just looking at the past history of him but anything is possble.
Nalwa-- I really doubt sampat can beat bhajan lal wife because there is a lot of sympathy for her in the district.. And sampat singh is being considered outsider... But this is also my opinion everyone might have there's. so please everybody try and put your thoughts too...
And rest in the last week most of the picture will be clear.
And i too think this time BJP will do better, than the last time.
so is the INLD

 

[sandeepdahiya47]

bhaiyon.....RAI Halke me bhi badhiya takkar hai....Congress aur INLD ke beech me......RAI Halke se Congress candidate Jaitirath hai (son of Late shri Rijak ram) aur INLD se candidate Inderjeet hai.....but as per my views Inderjeet will win with a good margin from RAI .......
please give ur views regarding RAI Halka.......:rock

 

[spdeshwal]

Sohna - Dharam Pal (INC) has a vote base of 36% in sohna. But sukhbir Singh is in a better position. I thought Dharam Pal was a gujjar himeself...
because it is a gujjar belt... I doubt Dharam pal Will win this time...
just the speculation...
Anyone from sohna palwal or gurgaon can give us a better idea...
but my assumption is total on data and votes given...
if the turnout is more than 70% which it will be than dharam pal is in danger...
BERI- i think DR. RAGHUVIR SINGH has a strong base there and a big vote bank favoring him, but this is just looking at the past history of him but anything is possble.
Nalwa-- I really doubt sampat can beat bhajan lal wife because there is a lot of sympathy for her in the district.. And sampat singh is being considered outsider... But this is also my opinion everyone might have there's. so please everybody try and put your thoughts too...
And rest in the last week most of the picture will be clear.
And i too think this time BJP will do better, than the last time.
so is the INLD

Dear Ashish

Dharamveer Singh, a jat from Tosham Bhiwani is congress candidate from Sohna and not Rao Dharampal. Rao Dharampal has won this seat in past three times, once as independent and twice on Congress ticket. He has been moved to newly formed Bahdashapur constituency.
Sohna has a sizable gujjar and meo population. Also there are some jat villages in the constituency. Traditionally, there have been good relations beetwen Jats and meos in the past. Taiyab hussain, the Meo leader from Taoru( now abolished) always got good support from jats.
Obviously it is tough going for Dharamveer in a constituency dominated by Meos and Gujjars ( Yadav villages have gone to badshahpur Constituency)


Cheers!

 

[samarkadian]

बहादुरगड़ में आज के दीन बहुकोणीय मुकाबला दीखता है !
रमेश दलाल, आसोधा,मान्धोठी आदि गाँव में काफी वोट ले जायेगा ऐसी संभावना है! जाहिर है ये नुक्सान नफे सिंह राठी को ही होगा ! नरेश मालिक भी एक सशक्त उमीद्वार है ! कुल मिला कर कांग्रेस का ही पलडा भारी दीखता है!

बेरी हलके में भी फिलहाल डॉ. कादियान साहेब की स्तिथि काफी मजबूत दीखाई देती है !अब तक आप भी जान गए होगे की डीघल में उप्द्रर्वी भी पहचान लिए गए हैं( पहलवान चत्तरे के सुप्पोर्टर ) डीघल गाँव के लोग इस बात से बहुत नाराज है और इस्सका बदला वो डॉ कादियान की वोट दाल कर ही लेंगे !
इसका भी डॉ. साहेब को फायदा ही मिलेगा, ऐसा मानना है लोगों का !

सबसे चोकाने वाली खबर उन्चाना से आ सकती है ! सुना है नेता जी ( चोटाला साहेब) बुरे फंसे हुए हैं ! चो. वीरेंदर का खादर की चोधर का नारा काम करता दीखाई दे रहा है ! लोग यहाँ तक कहते है की ये चोटाला, जींद के लोगों को ही भ्रम में डालने क्यों आता है ! खैर, कोई बात ना, एल्लानाबाद सीट ते निकाल ही लेजायेंगे चोटाला साहेब !
मैंने सुना है, अजय भाई साहेब के हाथ भी किवाडं बीचाले आ रे सें!
पर झूठ भी हो सके से भाई ! इलेक्शन के टेम विरोधी सारी ढाल की अफवाह चला दिया करें !
और फेर डॉ के वी सिंह ते उनका आपना ही मानस से, उससे हार भी गया ते के बात से !

खुश रहो !

Sir,

I disagree. Dr Raghubir is not in strong position at all. Deeghal's event was not completely choreographed. Most of the People from his own native village Dubhaldhan are not in favour of seeing him again.He is on his toes and that is the beauty of democratic process. One could have thought of congress as big winner had Dr not been the candidate. So Chatar and Sumit both are in people's mind more than you me or anyone can assume. Sumit has left the best impression so far. Mainly youth from every village looks up to him. It has not remained as an easy seat for Congress.

Dadri seat is turning hot like Beri as current MLA recently hooted in various villages. He doesnt dare to visit any village after 6PM. He has started apologising for not being in public. He is said to be Hooda's man but from sources it was directed to him by Hooda to project himself as student of Kiran and Shruti in this area for his lead. Shruti was there during filing nomination. People are not at all happy with him but they are also considering that with Satpal they would not get ANYTHING. So if Hoodas, Kiran, Shruti has to play for Narpender in ego massaging of people. This seat too is hot.

Badada, Mahendra got the ticket because of their internal setting. Kiran and Mahendra are not political rival, mainly family. Shruti played the important role for his Tau in this deal. He looks comfortable here.

 

[vikrant000682]

bhai ashish mera gaon narnaund cons. main hai..narnaund cons.CH. devi lal k time se hi INLD ki rahi hai...Virender singh yahan se coutinously 4 bar jeeta..3 bar INLD se or 1 bar JD(janta dal)se...or uske bad usne 3 election cong se lade 3 bar hi usse muhh ki khani padi....buri trah se hara vo 3 elections main..last elections main Ram kumar (BJP) jeeta...Saroj Mor(INLD) 1350 votes se har gyi thi..ram kumar ne wahan se coutinously 7 elections main khada hua to logon ki sympthy se vo jeet gya...jeetne k bad vo cong. main bhaj gya.abki bar ram kumar cong or saroj mor INLD se hain.....for sure....no doubt ya seat abki bar fir INLD k khaate main jaawegi......BJP se captain abhimanyu hai..vo paise k dum pe election lad raha hai....ismain 1 % bhi sak na hai ye seat hamesha ki trah INLD ki hi hai.

Narnaund: narnaud has never voted for congress not even in the last election. VIRENDER SINGH has won from here 4 times from 1977 -1996 but from different parties. As soon he got the ticket from congress he lost 2 times... congress total vote base here is not more than 28% and too when they have a stron candidate. Last time RAM KUMAR(BJP) won from here with 34.10% and SAROJ(INLD) lost the election with 32.57%. it was a tough compeition congress was not even in the picture.
This time also i really dont know who is going to win but i think it is not congress for sure. again pure guess.
Please put your inputs for this constituency also...

 

[jangsher]

Day Dreamer

My Speculations:

Congress: 30-35
HJC+BSP: 5-10
INLD : 40-45
BJP: 0-3

Mr Vikas I hope you are day dreamer, go to public wo kya kahate hain?
They say some thing else. Abhi tak log choutala sahab ko dobara se chahne nahi lage hain, abhi aur time lage ga.

 

[jangsher]

This Time INLD

Narnaund: narnaud has never voted for congress not even in the last election. VIRENDER SINGH has won from here 4 times from 1977 -1996 but from different parties. As soon he got the ticket from congress he lost 2 times... congress total vote base here is not more than 28% and too when they have a stron candidate. Last time RAM KUMAR(BJP) won from here with 34.10% and SAROJ(INLD) lost the election with 32.57%. it was a tough compeition congress was not even in the picture.
This time also i really dont know who is going to win but i think it is not congress for sure. again pure guess.
Please put your inputs for this constituency also...

Narnound se isbar INLD JEET JAYEGI, Mr. RAM KUMAR SE LOG NARAZ HAIN, POSITION SAROJ MOR KI STRONG HAI

 

[dskadyan]

Beri : Doctor sahab admit hoyenge isbar Hospital mein!!

Yes this time we are not supporting him. We(dubaldhan ale) supported him many time and we didnt get anything from him. He is just a chaploos nothing more and will get a kick not a vote. I dont know about the whole constituency, lekin gaon hi sath nahi toh baki jagah muskil ho jati hai.

 

[sumitdahiya123]

Aapko kya lagta davendar who is going to win?

Yes this time we are not supporting him. We(dubaldhan ale) supported him many time and we didnt get anything from him. He is just a chaploos nothing more and will get a kick not a vote. I dont know about the whole constituency, lekin gaon hi sath nahi toh baki jagah muskil ho jati hai.

 

[ashish1983]

Barwala - Barwala has been favoring congress for the last 2 elections. But in the last time Randhir won the election with 31.5% vote base and INLD candidate lost the seat with 28.5% vote base. over the last 2 elections INLD has increased ther vote bank. But still the constituency is favoring congress... Sheela Bhyana(INLD) is a stronger candidate than Ram Niwas Gohrala(INC) but i really dont know who is more stronger. But anyone from this constituency can give us a better idea...
sheels has done a lot of work in rural area for the poor people and she is better known face. but i dont know anything about Ram niwas...
I think people this time will not vote for congress because they wanted congress to field local candidate but still you dont really know people...
Gharaunda - Virender Rathore(INC) is not in a strong position, Narinder Sangwan(INLD) might have a edge bcoz of congress fighting there...
Is ramesh Rana fighting the election as Independent candidate or he is fighting from somewhere else.
Please anyone from this area will give a better idea ...
these are jsut assumptions.

 

[sumitdahiya123]

Ramesh rana was husband of rekha rana which is mla of dissolved assembly.now he is no more.

Barwala - Barwala has been favoring congress for the last 2 elections. But in the last time Randhir won the election with 31.5% vote base and INLD candidate lost the seat with 28.5% vote base. over the last 2 elections INLD has increased ther vote bank. But still the constituency is favoring congress... Sheela Bhyana(INLD) is a stronger candidate than Ram Niwas Gohrala(INC) but i really dont know who is more stronger. But anyone from this constituency can give us a better idea...
sheels has done a lot of work in rural area for the poor people and she is better known face. but i dont know anything about Ram niwas...
I think people this time will not vote for congress because they wanted congress to field local candidate but still you dont really know people...
Gharaunda - Virender Rathore(INC) is not in a strong position, Narinder Sangwan(INLD) might have a edge bcoz of congress fighting there...
Is ramesh Rana fighting the election as Independent candidate or he is fighting from somewhere else.
Please anyone from this area will give a better idea ...
these are jsut assumptions.

 

[akshaymalik84]

What is the position in Gohana constituency? Who is stronger Jagbir Malik(INC) or Atul Malik(INLD)? I think Atul Malik will give a good fight to Jagbir Malik who is fighting on INC ticket instead of HVP. And lots of Malik khap villeges makes it even more interesting.

 

[dskadyan]

Abhi Postion clear nahi hai yahan.

Aapko kya lagta davendar who is going to win?

Abhi yahan position clear nahi hai.Next time gaon jaoonga tab dekhkar aonga ki kya samikaran banenge.

 

[vivekgathwala]

Issues 8 initiatives by inld for common man of haryana

The State is beset with a number of serious challenges. Foremost among these is the failing law and order situation in the state. The corrupt and inefficient Congress rule since 2005 has seen manifold rise in crime. Not only is the crime unabated but those seeking justice are raped by the Policemen in the Police Stations and the victim become so desperate after vainly knocking the doors of the DGP of the State that they commit suicide.
Today, there is a murder every eight hours, rape every 12 hours and abduction every 10 hours. There are 17 serious crimes like burglary, theft, arson, dacoity, etc every hour. INLD is committed to reversing this trend.
The crime and worsening law and order have also affected the investment and industrial scene in the State. Haryana today is no longer the first choice of industry because of strained employee-employer relations and the law and order situation. The big challenge today is to win back the confidence of industry.
Industry and agriculture has been affected by the worsening power situation. Inefficient management of the thermal plants has led to frequent breakdowns and black outs. This has led to decrease in industrial production and increased input costs for the farmers.
INLD will ensure cost cutting in power production to make industrial and agricultural production cost effective. It will implement time bound programmes to set up new power plants and supply power to other States only after the needs of Haryana has been met. This would be unlike Congress which is supplying power to Delhi to please its High Command even at the cost of forcing its residents on roads to protest black outs and consequent absence of drinking water supply.
For SEZs and other private purposes, INLD will not acquire land from the farmers but when for public purpose it has to acquire land then the rate in NCR will be Rs. 1 crore per acre and Rs. 50 lakh per acre in the rest of the State.
In education, school education will be paid special attention so that the youth of Haryana is well equipped to avail the advantages of higher education.
Girls’ education remains a priority for INLD and therefore for their convenience they will be given mopeds/scootys. (See manifesto) Similarly, to make life easy and healthy for women they will be given cooking gas connections along with burners and gas cylinders free of cost.
Unemployment has serious repercussion therefore to instill confidence among them all unemployed will get Rs. 300 per month as unemployment allowance if they have passed their plus 2 class. To encourage even the poor to aspire for higher education, all graduate level education, technical and non-technical will be imparted at the cost of the State.
The trading class is the backbone of Haryana’s economy therefore a number of incentives are being given to them so that the tax net is widened and increased.
Discipline in financial matters has always been the core of INLD. The party will plug wasteful expenditure and ensure that State revenue is increased.

 

[vivekgathwala]

what is the position in gohana constituency? Who is stronger jagbir malik(inc) or atul malik(inld)? I think atul malik will give a good fight to jagbir malik who is fighting on inc ticket instead of hvp. And lots of malik khap villeges makes it even more interesting.

atul gonna make win from gohana 100%

 

[vivekgathwala]

kyon dookhi ho reha se chorre?

tu chahe 105 karde bhai, kaun rokke se....

But once the results are out, tu zaroor aaiyo iss thread par...with all your counts and analysis.

Would be interesting to hear from you then.

So in the interest of everyone, make a promise to come back here after the real results come out and give some solid and believable explanation as to what went wrong with your analysis.

45 to chor, 15 aa gi toe it would be a miracle! and that seems to be a general concensus on this forum also!

Ramesh

RAMESH JEE KYUN KHAM KHA TATTA TAWA PAKDO SOOO IBKE INLD sarkar banavegiiiiiiii:rock:rockar miracle bhi hovegaaaaaaa:rock


ar aap promise karoo aap aaogee fer :tamatar:tamatar