If elections are held as per schedule in October 2014, AAP will give a good fight in Haryana. Congress did not do a great job even in 2009 elections. Had it been only Congress, Jan Hit Congress, BJP and INLD etc, voters had very little choice and would have voted for congress even in 2014. However, with the arrival of AAP, political scene has changed drastically. Its going to be battle royal this time.
RK^2
The real tricky thing would be, on how not to make an ally with HJC in Assembly elections. (as he already shared dice with Bishonoi recently). So, as not to piss off Jats, in a long run. If AAP happens to garner more seats than anticipated. and establishes itself as a potential contender of forming the govt.
Picture for Jat votes,should become slightly clear only after the verdict on central reservation. If Congress fails to materialize this in due time, its gonna be a hotch potch situation in Haryana. Since non-political Jat leaders/elders are in a state of confusion as jat reservation is the main agenda, and AAP is being projected by them as pro-jats. So they are divided b/w Congress, and INLD. But we must not forget, jats constitute only 25%, and rest of the crowd (including jats) are getting drifted towards AAP.
If reservation happens, still congress will not be able to come up with a clear majority as people are already pissed off. And here is where AAP will do the magic, finally congress & AAP would be settling in haryana too. But that will again go into bad books of masses, as they will be making congress an ally again.
Directly or indirectly, it will hurt INLD in either way. And with AAP's foray into Haryana, it will steal the limelight from BJP, and surely it will not align with INLD whose biggest leader/CM candidate is in Jail.
Situation is tough for all the parties, and a hung assembly seems to be on the cards.