How Muslim Votes are going to effect 2014 Elections ?

Prikshit said:
It is still missing or rather practised by a single party and I back that. You decide what came first, doesn't matter to me what matters is vast spread secularism in all parties except one. One party? What about AAP on this?
Worldwise secularism is quiet different, there is means to respect all, here it means to appease few.
When you say some parties, you shouldn't hesitate in naming them.
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Except perhaps the CPI M no party in India practices true secularism. Lets see how AAP fares. Not doing bad on this front so far. Can'say the same for any other mainstream party.
 
Samarkadian said:
Agree or not, they are 180 Millions and in govt. making process, vote counts. Plain and simple. Most parties and off late BJP, supposedly anti-muslim or Pro-Hindu set up, have been lining up strategies for these guy. Below is an article from India Today about Muslim Votes and its effects by Yashwant Deshmukh.

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There are 180 million Muslims in India. Though the Election Commission does not give electoral roll estimates on religion, one can fairly estimate that in 218 Lok Sabha constituencies across India, Muslims have more than 10 per cent vote share. With parties actively wooing the Muslim vote, what impact will it have on General Elections 2014?

# Muslims, by and large, have voted for non-BJP parties, or anti-BJP parties in states where BJP has been an important player for long. In states like UP, where there has been more than one 'secular' option, Muslims have adopted 'tactical voting', where they vote for the best possible candidate who can defeat BJP. The sentiment against Gujarat Chief Minister Narendra Modi among Muslims is even stronger than the mood against BJP. So much so that even L.K. Advani is being portrayed as a secularist, though it was he who pushed BJP down the Ayodhya route.

# The minorities regard BJP as an anti-Muslim party. There is a decisive Muslim vote of more than 20 per cent in 70-odd seats where there will be a counter-polarisation of Hindu votes. This will help BJP in any election divided on communal lines.

# In 150-odd seats across India, Muslims form more than 10 per cent of the vote share. It is enough to become a deciding factor in who they will vote for but not enough to trigger a counter-polarisation towards BJP among Hindu voters.

# These are some seats where non-BJP parties would like to display their 'secular' credentials to get the critical Muslim vote. These are seats in which the margin of victory is less than 10 per cent. Oddly, these seats are packed in states where BJP is a nonentity. For example in Kerala, West Bengal, Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Odisha and Assam, it is the regional parties that are in direct competition with the Congress. But in order to defeat the Congress, they do need the critical mass of Muslim votes. That's why a majority of regional parties from these states would prefer to oppose Modi and BJP. It puts them on par with Congress.

# However, this does not work in similar fashion in states like Maharashtra, UP, Bihar or Gujarat, where BJP is a stakeholder and is looking to gain further. These states have a large number of seats with a sizeable Muslim presence. These are the states where a clear pro-Muslim stand taken by Congress, SP, BSP, RJD or even JD(U) polarises Muslims in their favour. There is also a counter-polarisation among Hindu voters for BJP.

# The general perception is that wherever any party forms a relationship with BJP, it loses the Muslim vote. This is true to a large but not complete extent. Nitish Kumar and Mayawati have shown clearly that they can get Muslim votes even after hobnobbing with BJP. Narendra Modi's entry into the picture muddies things though.

# Muslim organisations are preparing an extensive advisory to guide Muslim voters across all 543 constituencies. It is doubtful how this will work out in a post-poll scenario as barring the Left Front, almost all major regional parties have associated with BJP at one point of time or another.

# The Muslim community's vote can decide MPs in approximately 220 Lok Sabha seats. These seats should not be confused with those where Muslim candidates win. There are only 30 Muslim MPs, roughly 6 per cent of the total number of MPs. This clearly is much less than their 14 per cent share of India's 1.2 billion population.

# It will eventually boil down to the critical state of Uttar Pradesh. The Muslim vote has dictated the last two elections in the state. In the 2007 Assembly polls, Muslims chose BSP and in 2012 they rallied behind SP, thus helping the state get single party rule. But in the 2009 Lok Sabha elections, they voted tactically to help the best possible candidates from SP, BSP and Congress win against BJP. On the face of it, the 2009 results from UP look like a fractured mandate; but if one looks closely, the only loser in the state was BJP whose share went down to a historic low of 10 seats, polling about 18 per cent votes, while the Congress went up from 9 to 21 seats polling almost the same number of votes. In other words, Uttar Pradesh had given 70 out of 80 Lok Sabha seats to non-BJP parties; and Muslim voters were instrumental in this verdict.


# Out of the 80 Lok Sabha constituencies in Uttar Pradesh, Muslims are over 20 per cent in two dozen-odd seats in the western region including Bareilly, Badaun, Pilibhit, Rampur, Sambhal, Amroha, Meerut, Muzaffarnagar, Saharanpur, Bijnor, Amroha and Moradabad. Little surprise then that the recent communal riots have polarised sentiment in these very areas. In eastern UP, they are decisive in another 12 seats including Azamgarh, Bahraich, Gonda, Sravasti, Varanasi, Domariyaganj, Gonda and Balrampur. If Modi decides to contest from one of these seats, especially Varanasi, the effect of polarisation will be felt not just in western UP but also in western Bihar/ Bhojpur region.

http://in.news.yahoo.com/the-m-calculus--the-power-and-reach-of-the-muslim-vote-134845877.html
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Stop being a US agent on JL for making the elections religious rather than governance. Mind it US as always divided and destroyed countries. Watch-out the neighborhood, first they create terrorists (currently using cong party for that) and then invade them to thwart terrorism.

Like you and few others, it is the congress party that is trying to shift the focus of the election to religion rather than governance (where it has failed badly).
 
Arvindc said:
Stop being a US agent on JL for making the elections religious rather than governance. Mind it US as always divided and destroyed countries. Watch-out the neighborhood, first they create terrorists (currently using cong party for that) and then invade them to thwart terrorism.

Like you and few others, it is the congress party that is trying to shift the focus of the election to religion rather than governance (where it has failed badly).
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LOL...... You nailed it. I am stopping as you insisted. But dear closet patriot, can I resume again if in case Modi or BJP led government wag its tail in-front of US?
 
Samarkadian said:
LOL...... You nailed it. I am stopping as you insisted. But dear closet patriot, can I resume again if in case Modi or BJP led government wag its tail in-front of US?
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BJP is not far behind.
AAP is a little hope for us to look forward. Hope it manages & strengthens it's internal affairs better and becomes a visionary "party" from a visionary "man" .
 
Arvindc said:
BJP is not far behind.
AAP is a little hope for us to look forward. Hope it manages & strengthens it's internal affairs better and becomes a visionary "party" from a visionary "man" .
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Ford Foundation :) I guess it get funds from the Congress and the BJP:triumphant:
 
rkumar said:
Thought provoking article on how Muslim votes are managed;

The secular Jaziyah tax: Contemporary India continues to entrap Muslims in the politics of fear

http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/...the-politics-of-fear/articleshow/33404770.cms


The writer is a former MP and editor, Nai Duniya. and was the chairman of Congress' Minority Cell in 1996. Article proves that congress is the biggest communal party in India.

RK^2
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Congress supporters must read it in complete. Simple words yet meaningful. Where are we leading is conspicous from this article.
 
rkumar said:
Thought provoking article on how Muslim votes are managed;

The secular Jaziyah tax: Contemporary India continues to entrap Muslims in the politics of fear

http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/...the-politics-of-fear/articleshow/33404770.cms


The writer is a former MP and editor, Nai Duniya. and was the chairman of Congress' Minority Cell in 1996. Article proves that congress is the biggest communal party in India.

RK^2
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The writer makes god points. It would make have also been better if he could mention the course of action for the community.

Overall, the backwardness or the helplessness of the community is as much due to the failing of its own leadership and intelligentsia as much as the political parties.
 
Agreed. however both want power and if Muslims get education they may not vote with false fear that's the reason no one interested to uplift them.


swaich said:
The writer makes god points. It would make have also been better if he could mention the course of action for the community.

Overall, the backwardness or the helplessness of the community is as much due to the failing of its own leadership and intelligentsia as much as the political parties.
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