JL poll result predictions !!!

[prikshit]

Hi All,

We have many political observers here on JL, so why not share there experience that who will get how many seats and who is more likely to form the next govt. The last phase of polling ends today. News channels would be busy with exit polls in coming 3 days. We can do that statewise or may be constituency wise, here we have people across the nation. Pls share your views.

 

[prikshit]

My anticipation is : BJP- 225-233, Congress 75-80, TMC - 22-26, AIDMK - 20-25, SP-5-7, BSP-5-7, JDU-4-5, RJD - 8-9

 

[amankadian]

My anticipation is : BJP- 225-233, Congress 75-80, TMC - 22-26, AIDMK - 20-25, SP-5-7, BSP-5-7, JDU-4-5, RJD - 8-9

Or baki seat kya AAP ko milegi.

 

[prikshit]

Or baki seat kya AAP ko milegi.

Baaki me AAP ki ginti na hai...

 

[drrajpalsingh]

It is too early to start prediction; kindly post your views after 5.30 p.m. to avoid violation of moral code of conduct for polls.

 

[avinashb]

My anticipation is : BJP- 225-233, Congress 75-80, TMC - 22-26, AIDMK - 20-25, SP-5-7, BSP-5-7, JDU-4-5, RJD - 8-9

What about NDA allies like SAD,Shiv Sena and TDP ?
I don't think these 3 parties collectively will get 50 seats ..

As per your prediction it is sure that Modi is not going to be next PM of India ..
Modi will become PM only if BJP alone gets 250+ seats ..

 

[amankadian]

What about NDA allies like SAD,Shiv Sena and TDP ?
I don't think these 3 parties collectively will get 50 seats ..

As per your prediction it is sure that Modi is not going to be next PM of India ..
Modi will become PM only if BJP alone gets 250+ seats ..

BJP alone can't get 250 I think. There are 28 parties in NDA. So it's possible to get 272+

 

[amankadian]

Congress will get around 100. UPA around 115

 

[rajpaldular]

day's Chanakya @TodaysChanakya · 14h

#TCExitPoll All India Tally (543 seats) #BJP 291 ± 14 Seats#Cong 57 ± 9 Seats#NDA 340 ±14 Seats#UPA 70 ±9 SeatsOthers 133 ±11 Seats

 

[rajpaldular]

लोकसभा चुनाव 2014 भाजपा+ को मिलने वाली सीटों का मेरा अनुमान - यदि आपको किसी राज्य में सीटों में अंतर लगे तो अवश्य बताएँ:-


अनुमानित सीटें/कुल सीटें


1- मध्यप्रदेश - 25/29
2- उत्तर प्रदेश- 50/80
3- आंध्रप्रदेश - 20/42
4- अरुणाचल प्रदेश- 1/2
5- असम-7/14
6- बिहार 28/40
7- छत्तीसगढ़ 10/11
8- गोवा- 2/2
9- गुजरात- 23/26
10 हरियाणा- 7/10
11 हिमाचल प्रदेश- 3/4
12 जम्मू-कश्मीर- 2/6
13 झारखंड- 10/14
14 कर्नाटक-18/28
15 केरल- 2/20
16 महाराष्ट्र- 34/48
17 मणिपुर- 0/2
18 मेघालय- 0/2
19 मिजोरम- 0/1
20 नागालैंड- 0/1
21 ओडिशा- 2/21
22 पंजाब - 9/13
23 राजस्थान- 22/25
24 सिक्किम 0/1
25 तमिलनाडु- 7/39
26 त्रिपुरा- 0/2
27 उत्तराखंड- 4/5
28 प. बंगाल- 2/42
29 दिल्ली- 5/7
30 अंडमान-निकोबार 0/1
31 चंडीगढ़-1/1
32 दादर-नागर हवेली 0/1
33- दमन व दीव- 0/1
34 लक्षद्वीप 1/1
35 पुड्डुचेरी - 0/1




कुल- 295/543


हर हर मोदी, घर घर मोदी !!!!! :victorious::victorious:

 

[prikshit]

What about NDA allies like SAD,Shiv Sena and TDP ?
I don't think these 3 parties collectively will get 50 seats ..

As per your prediction it is sure that Modi is not going to be next PM of India ..
Modi will become PM only if BJP alone gets 250+ seats ..

Bhai 2 more days, things will be ultra clear, waise must have seen the exit polls, the worst shows 249 for NDA, and it is more likely to get near the majority mark.

 

[rajpaldular]

बैठ गया हाथी, उडती नहीं है धुल
साइकिल हुई पंचर, टायर गए खुल
झाड़ू भी टूट गई, जाओ उसे भूल
पंजा भी लटक कर, गया है झूल
अब देश में खिलेगा कमल का फूल
[

 

[rajpaldular]

 

[drrajpalsingh]

A note of caution :

These estimates or predictions cannot be fully relied upon as past experiences show.

Therefore,

Kindly prepare sweets but do not distribute them to celebrate victory

as anybody's apple cart may be derailed at the final counting of votes on 16th May.

 

[drrajpalsingh]

Kindly also read this projection with allied analysis :

http://www.rediff.com/news/column/l...hat-the-bjp-rss-exit-poll-says-1/20140513.htm

Again a word of caution -- This is projection not the result.

 

[ygulia]

Just two days are left and picture will be clear after that. It is pretty sure that Modi will form the govt. but with ease (gets majority) or not (with support of others) is the question for discussion.

 

[prikshit]

BJP's internal survey says 291-303, which means clearly above the majority mark. Since we have many exit polls with varied anticipations, surely result will be little different from the exit polls. May 16th is going to be a big day in the history of our Country.

 

[amankadian]

BJP's internal survey says 291-303, which means clearly above the majority mark. Since we have many exit polls with varied anticipations, surely result will be little different from the exit polls. May 16th is going to be a big day in the history of our Country.

Election cost was 3500 cr this year. Exit Poll and news ne result bata hi diya. Bakar main EC ne karcha kia muje lagta hai. 4-5 Seat hi to upper niche hoti hai per itna karcha kyun. BJP will be going to be number one party. or ek stable govt. ka hona jaruri hai.

RSS ne to cabinet ministers ki List bhi tyaar kar di.

 

[rathiji]

Good suggestion Aman.

 

[prikshit]

Election cost was 3500 cr this year. Exit Poll and news ne result bata hi diya. Bakar main EC ne karcha kia muje lagta hai. 4-5 Seat hi to upper niche hoti hai per itna karcha kyun. BJP will be going to be number one party. or ek stable govt. ka hona jaruri hai.

RSS ne to cabinet ministers ki List bhi tyaar kar di.

Bhai tu ke ghaatt se, tane ae le jaate JL ki taraf te, news aale paise bhi bach jaate. RSS aala ne jo nam final kar diye we bhi bta deta saara ne