rakeshsehrawat
New member
Never underestimate the power of congress
If i categorize people i found following classes
1) Rural Voter
a) Congress supporter
b) INLD supporter
c) Bas vote dalni hai
d) Chahe jitna zor laga lo hame koi farak nahi padta
vote share
INLD 55-60 %
Congress 35-40 %
INLD leads Congress second
a
Urban Voter
a)Congress supporter
b)INLD supporter
c)BJP supporter
d)AAP supporter
Congress vote share 35-40%
BJP Vote share 50-55%
INLD vote share 10-15%
AAP and others 2-10%
If we combine congress vote bank it comes as winner with a combined vote share of 35-40% in a constituency
BJP seat for Karnal Kurukshetra and Ambala have huge chances of winning rural areas still support INLD more then BJP so these 3 seats have chances of BJP winning.
Gurgaon is three sided match and with more then 3.5 lac muslim voters INLD could be winner not BJP
Rohtak city and Bahadurgarh will see a huge vote share of BJP but in villages BJP got nothing. Congress W/L 60:40
Bhiwani with yadav's opting out of election in Kosli etc. huge loss of INLD and gain for congress Cong 1st BJP 2nd INLD 3rd 55:50:45
Hisar INLD 1st BJP 2nd Cong. 3rd 60:50:40
Faridabad always favours Congress second BJP INLD got lowest share
and as per my information INLD didn't support BJP anywhere. Infact there was fight between Bisnoi and INLD supporters.
BJP seat in Haryana is still a very difficult job. This time INLD had done a great damage to BJP and vice versa so It won't be a big surprise if congress gets more then 5 seats.u seem to be out of touch from ground level bro. ur prediction for inld is high and for bjp it is low.
congress - even 3 seats difficult. so count rohtak + sonepat / bhiwani (tentative). no chances of getting 4 seats.
BJP 4-5 seats ( gurgaon, ambala, faridabad, karnal, sonepat (tentative) etc.
INLD - 3-5 seat - Hisar and sirsa confirmed + kurushetra (tentative) + Karnal (tentative) + bhiwani (tentative)
If i categorize people i found following classes
1) Rural Voter
a) Congress supporter
b) INLD supporter
c) Bas vote dalni hai
d) Chahe jitna zor laga lo hame koi farak nahi padta
vote share
INLD 55-60 %
Congress 35-40 %
INLD leads Congress second
a
Urban Voter
a)Congress supporter
b)INLD supporter
c)BJP supporter
d)AAP supporter
Congress vote share 35-40%
BJP Vote share 50-55%
INLD vote share 10-15%
AAP and others 2-10%
If we combine congress vote bank it comes as winner with a combined vote share of 35-40% in a constituency
BJP seat for Karnal Kurukshetra and Ambala have huge chances of winning rural areas still support INLD more then BJP so these 3 seats have chances of BJP winning.
Gurgaon is three sided match and with more then 3.5 lac muslim voters INLD could be winner not BJP
Rohtak city and Bahadurgarh will see a huge vote share of BJP but in villages BJP got nothing. Congress W/L 60:40
Bhiwani with yadav's opting out of election in Kosli etc. huge loss of INLD and gain for congress Cong 1st BJP 2nd INLD 3rd 55:50:45
Hisar INLD 1st BJP 2nd Cong. 3rd 60:50:40
Faridabad always favours Congress second BJP INLD got lowest share
and as per my information INLD didn't support BJP anywhere. Infact there was fight between Bisnoi and INLD supporters.