Exit Polls

Exit Poll: How many seats will INLD win?

  • 0

    Votes: 6 12.8%

  • 1

    Votes: 10 21.3%

  • 2

    Votes: 5 10.6%

  • 3

    Votes: 8 17.0%

  • 4

    Votes: 9 19.1%

  • 5

    Votes: 5 10.6%

  • 6

    Votes: 1 2.1%

  • 7

    Votes: 2 4.3%

  • 8

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • 9 or 10

    Votes: 1 2.1%
  • Total voters
    47
  • Poll closed .
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Year 1999 polll results.... INLD-BJP had won all 10 seats giving a clean sweep to Congress... including Mr B.S. Hooda in Rohtak :)
 
anilsangwan said:
In 1999 the INLD-BJP alliance had defeated Congress everywhere...
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Yeah, makes sense. I had forgotten 1999, when they had split 5-5 in LS and 60-30 in assembly elections. I knew Chautala left NDA mid-way. Clearly, fighting together would have made more sense for them in 2004. Though anti-incumbency at both Center and State level would have still made it tough for them. But now, Congress has anti-incumbency at both Center and State. INLD would have Jat peasantry votes and BJP would have middle-class/upper caste votes. Going by that, I think INLD-BJP should win 5-7 easily, maybe even more. But this is helicopter view not taking into account what people think of the center/state rule. If Congress wins anything over 5, I think the credit should go to Hooda. As Haryana clearly has a trend of anti-incumbency.
 
Yes Kapil... likely wins (as per my guess) of Rohtak and Sonepat seats by Congress candidates are purely due to Hooda and not due to Congress or center govt or state govt in general.

Dont know about Navin Jindal and Kumari Shailja's fortune this time as we have very less jatlanders from northern Haryana who can give a view about ground situation there.

I heard both Shailja and Jindal are facing toughest fights this time because of less developments in their areas during congress regime. Secondly, BJP and INLD are together this time... thirdly, INLD has fielded local candidate from Kurukshetra this time...

Baaki dekho kya hota hai... :)



kapil.dalal said:
Yeah, makes sense. I had forgotten 1999, when they had split 5-5 in LS and 60-30 in assembly elections. I knew Chautala left NDA mid-way. Clearly, fighting together would have made more sense for them in 2004. Though anti-incumbency at both Center and State level would have still made it tough for them. But now, Congress has anti-incumbency at both Center and State. INLD would have Jat peasantry votes and BJP would have middle-class/upper caste votes. Going by that, I think INLD-BJP should win 5-7 easily, maybe even more. But this is helicopter view not taking into account what people think of the center/state rule. If Congress wins anything over 5, I think the credit should go to Hooda. As Haryana clearly has a trend of anti-incumbency.
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Maine to 7 pe vote karr diya hai. Par abhi tak 5 ke upar waala sirf main hi hoon :). INLD/BJP ke die-hard supporters kahaan gaye?
 
Bhai maine toh sirf INLD ki soch kar 5/5 pe poll maara tha.... ebb paachey bera paatya ek BJP bhi included sei....... but now can not be changed.. :)

so mere waale ko 7/10 samjho ...INLD+ BJP k liye.... :-) .... Rohtak er Sunpatt ki Congress tein dey dee...er Gurgaon ki HJC tein... :)

kapil.dalal said:
Maine to 7 pe vote karr diya hai. Par abhi tak 5 ke upar waala sirf main hi hoon :). INLD/BJP ke die-hard supporters kahaan gaye?
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samikaran of hissar

yaar,hissar ki 50 50 hai but kuk is more likely to be win.because of the fact yamuna nagar is not now in kuk.bjp ke vote bhi hai.rajond and kalayat is now in kuk jo ki inld ke gadh hai.
anilsangwan said:
Out of this... I can see 3 seats of INLD as clear win: Sirsa, Bhiwani and Hisar

Kurukshetra - chances of INLD winning is 50-50 (Jindal ki Naasa mein dhooma de raakha sei Bhai Ashok Arora ne.. and HJC is very weak there)

Rohtak and Sonepat will go to congress - except Mr Birender Singh does some miracle in Jind area to defeat Hooda's candidate!

Karnal and Ambala - BJP has very good chances. ID Swami and Kataria are good candidates.

Gurgaon - HJC and Congress are main contenders. Heard that Rao Narbir Singh of HJC is giving tough fight to Inderjit Singh.

Faridabad - no idea !!!
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Haan Sumit...ho sakta hai ki Hisar 50-50 hai. I read your analysis about Hisar constituency and it has facts. Same way KUK has good chances that Ashok Arora wins it !!!

Sumitdahiya123 said:
yaar,hissar ki 50 50 hai but kuk is more likely to be win.because of the fact yamuna nagar is not now in kuk.bjp ke vote bhi hai.rajond and kalayat is now in kuk jo ki inld ke gadh hai.
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hissar lead

it is totally depends on lead which the hjc will be take from adampur.baki area mein sampat bhajan lal ke equal ya thode jyada vote le sakta hai.
anilsangwan said:
Haan Sumit...ho sakta hai ki Hisar 50-50 hai. I read your analysis about Hisar constituency and it has facts. Same way KUK has good chances that Ashok Arora wins it !!!
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Sumitdahiya123 said:
it is totally depends on lead which the hjc will be take from adampur.baki area mein sampat bhajan lal ke equal ya thode jyada vote le sakta hai.
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Apart from Adampur...baaki sabb jagah se Prof Sampat Singh will take lead bro. Bawani Khera constituency is purely for INLD. And, Jat votes which went for JP last time...may go for Prof Sampat as people know that JP is not a strong Jat Candidate this time...

Yes... Hansi city votes will go for JP as Amir Chand Makkar is local MLA... but that is better else Bhajan Lal would have taken those votes...
 
bhai hum INLD ke diehard supprter hain maine bhi 5 pe poll kar diya tha.......


anilsangwan said:
Bhai maine toh sirf INLD ki soch kar 5/5 pe poll maara tha.... ebb paachey bera paatya ek BJP bhi included sei....... but now can not be changed.. :)

so mere waale ko 7/10 samjho ...INLD+ BJP k liye.... :-) .... Rohtak er Sunpatt ki Congress tein dey dee...er Gurgaon ki HJC tein... :)
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anilsangwan said:
INLD Candidates:

1. Sirsa - Dr Sita Ram
2. Hisar - Prof Sampat Singh
3. Bhiwani - Ajay Singh Chautala
4. Rohtak - Nafe Singh Rathee
5. Kurukshetra - Ashok Arora

BJP Candidates:

1. Ambala - Ratan Lal Kataria
2. Sonepat - Kishan Singh Sangwan
3. Karnal - I.D. Swami
4. Faridabad - Ram Chander Bainda
5. Gurgaon - Dr Sudha Yadav
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ye 4 seat to confirm h bhai or kurukshetra ki bhi nikal jani cha hiye shayd


haan or agar congress ki baat kare to congress k pass 2 seat hi paki confirm h baki sabhi seats par congress ko fight mil rahi h ...........gurgaon ki seat BSP ki hi final lag rahi h abki bar cause mewat is all with BSP

baki dekhoo kya hota h ..........abki bar asli rajniti ka pata chalega
 
Yes I was thinking along similar lines when I said that it will vary between 1 and 4.

However I am sure about Sirsa only. Bhiwani and Hisar can still sway either ways I think. Faridabad I dont have that much info about, however last I heard it is very dicey still.

in bhiwani with 2 jats and a non jat will split the non jat vote particularly ahirs....bhiwani is going to be close in my opinion.

Lets see how things shape up finally.....


VivekGathwala said:
ye 4 seat to confirm h bhai or kurukshetra ki bhi nikal jani cha hiye shayd


haan or agar congress ki baat kare to congress k pass 2 seat hi paki confirm h baki sabhi seats par congress ko fight mil rahi h ...........gurgaon ki seat BSP ki hi final lag rahi h abki bar cause mewat is all with BSP

baki dekhoo kya hota h ..........abki bar asli rajniti ka pata chalega
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Faridabad main jordar takkar hai ..bhadana (gujjar from cong ) aur bainda (jat from bjp ) ke beach main..

pichle baar bhadana 2 lak se jyaada vote se jeeta tha , inld se mohmd illyas doosre number par aaya tha uar bainda teesre par .

par pichle lection ke baad condition badal chuki hain.. mewat ka area gurgaon main chala gaya hai..issey bjp ko faayda ho gaya hai ..
aur faridabad ki seat par ab sabse jyaada vote jaaton ke hain..
agar saare jat bjp ko support karte hain toh bainda ki raah aasan ho jaayegee.

doosre taraf congress ke 3 local mla bhadana ke against main khade hain..
isliye bhadana ki haalat thodee kamzor hai..

gujjar bhi baten hue hain.. par inmain ek baat hai jab caste ki baat hoti hai toh sab ek ho jaate hain.. aur sirf ek gujjar candidate ko hi vote dete hain..

kaash jaaton main bhi aisa hota :o
 
SumitJattan said:
Agar Chautala ne Sangwan ko pura support diya to Jitender MLA ka MLA reh ja gya:thappad
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Sumit bhai chautala sangwan ko dil se support kar raha hai.Aur pher virender singh bhi to jind me karishma karega, aapni ticket katne ka badla levega. Sonipat me hooda ke pasine lyadenge sonipat wale.
 
Hisar mein Prof Sampat Singh k nomination k time jutti bheed ne Bhajan Lal k hosh udda diye hain. JP aur HJC khemo mein bhoochaal sa aa gya sei Hisaar mein.....

Bheedd ko dekh kar Chautala "saab" ne Prof Sampat Singh aur Hisar ki Janata ko advance mein badhayi dee..!!!

You can see pics of rally here
 
dahiyask said:
Sumit bhai chautala sangwan ko dil se support kar raha hai.Aur pher virender singh bhi to jind me karishma karega, aapni ticket katne ka badla levega. Sonipat me hooda ke pasine lyadenge sonipat wale.
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I doubt this Bhai saab, as K.C Bangar Ji is in Rohtak till elections and also I personally know few INLD workers who are in Bhiwani for the main dungal for INLD.
 
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